Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.055896 0.063639 0.071679 0.080617 0.090246 0.100277 0.111488
2025-03-09 0.039612 0.050218 0.061955 0.075762 0.091415 0.108480 0.128356
2025-03-16 0.029015 0.040856 0.054770 0.071975 0.092334 0.115346 0.143012
2025-03-23 0.024412 0.037531 0.053717 0.074509 0.099900 0.129344 0.165518
2025-03-30 0.020596 0.034470 0.052387 0.076207 0.106098 0.141513 0.185806
2025-04-06 0.018315 0.033020 0.052762 0.079756 0.114370 0.156071 0.208938
2025-04-13 0.015021 0.029625 0.050147 0.079112 0.117144 0.163794 0.223786
2025-04-20 0.014081 0.029529 0.051907 0.084143 0.127105 0.180386 0.249505
2025-04-27 0.011287 0.026125 0.048665 0.082153 0.127773 0.185266 0.260784
2025-05-04 0.010232 0.025384 0.049163 0.085215 0.135031 0.198450 0.282406
2025-05-11 0.008444 0.023084 0.047093 0.084482 0.137093 0.204940 0.295639
2025-05-18 0.007441 0.022034 0.046826 0.086242 0.142476 0.215693 0.314280
2025-05-25 0.006525 0.021133 0.046921 0.088825 0.149468 0.229204 0.337357
2025-06-01 0.004755 0.018090 0.043236 0.085594 0.148318 0.232079 0.346994
2025-06-08 0.003314 0.015279 0.039577 0.082103 0.146580 0.234039 0.355396
2025-06-15 0.002886 0.014827 0.040049 0.085062 0.154116 0.248503 0.380194
2025-06-22 0.002411 0.014090 0.039902 0.086977 0.160126 0.260940 0.402429
2025-06-29 0.002180 0.013997 0.040958 0.090861 0.169075 0.277465 0.430179
2025-07-06 0.001615 0.012610 0.039319 0.090167 0.171160 0.284549 0.445455
2025-07-13 0.001569 0.013008 0.041314 0.095640 0.182565 0.304607 0.478137
2025-07-20 0.001058 0.011379 0.038916 0.093477 0.182336 0.308467 0.489180
2025-07-27 0.000925 0.011242 0.039685 0.096805 0.190511 0.324122 0.516142
2025-08-03 0.000636 0.010133 0.038169 0.096008 0.192277 0.330750 0.530959